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11-19-18 03:58PM |
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Deliverer
Swing Artist
Registered: Nov 2016
Location:
Posts: 471 |
European Curling Championships 2018
The level of competition the Swedish women's team will face in this year's Euro would appear to be weaker than normal. Can't imagine they will even have to break a sweat to defeat Germany, Italy, The Chech Republic, Finland, Latvia or Mad Madeleine's Denmark, none of which is expected to make the four team playoffs. ( The best of these has a world ranking of 34th and ytd winnings of $5K.)
Of the remaining teams Scotland should make it to the playoffs but I certainly would not bet the farm that they will. M'H was ranked 4th in the world at the beginning of the season but since that time she has rapidly slipped to 13th and I have no reason to believe, at this juncture, a turnaround will be forthcoming. When I see it, I'll believe it!
Switzerland, on the other hand, started the season with a bang finishing 3rd in the Stockholm Cup and 2nd in both the Stu Sells and the Elite 10. Since that time, however, everything has gone south - deep south - and now it appears that Tirinzoni might just decide to seize the reins once again, a move that will get them to the playoffs but unlikely to get them into the winner's circle. The addition of Peter Gallant, their new coach, should pay huge dividends. However, while he led Korea out of the wilderness - without a word of thanks - I'm not convinced he can do the same with T'Z & Co. But no matter how you slice it, Tirinzoni's prospects have improved considerably because of him.
One team that should have a reasonable chance of placing second in the round - robin is Russia. Aline Kovaleva started the season ranked 52nd and has since moved up quickly to 21st. To date this year she has won the Prestige Hotel Classic, the China Open as well as coming in 2nd in the HDF Shoot-Out. Should they bring their "A" game to the finals and should Sweden have an Off Day as they did in '17 , anything is possible ( as it always is in women's curling ).
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11-21-18 02:41PM |
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southerncurler
Swing Artist
Registered: Jan 2015
Location:
Posts: 234 |
Horrendous pick during Eve’s delivery at the end of their game against the Germans cause her to miss and lose putting Scotland on the verge of missing the playoffs.
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11-21-18 02:55PM |
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albetts
Super Rockchucker
Registered: Jan 2006
Location: Peterborough
Posts: 1120 |
quote: Originally posted by southerncurler
Horrendous pick during Eve’s delivery at the end of their game against the Germans cause her to miss and lose putting Scotland on the verge of missing the playoffs.
That's a heart breaker really. I wish them all the best in their upcoming games.
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11-21-18 02:58PM |
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MeaghanEdwards
Drawmaster
Registered: Aug 2018
Location:
Posts: 699 |
quote: Originally posted by albetts
That's a heart breaker really. I wish them all the best in their upcoming games.
Agreed. Absolutely hate picks (though the players hate them more!). Rooting hard for these girls.
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11-21-18 07:26PM |
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misty1
Supreme Champion!
Registered: Sep 2011
Location:
Posts: 6002 |
quote: Originally posted by albetts
That's a heart breaker really. I wish them all the best in their upcoming games.
yeah, that really sucks. feel for scotland.
i dont know if eve will ever be the same thing. her days as a top curler may ber over. the type of surgery she had.. it's just hard to completely recover from . she does have time on her side, she's young but..still.
i hope im wrong. she's fun to watch and one of the best in the world. from a talent standpoint one of the best the world has ever seen.
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11-21-18 09:19PM |
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Observer
Swing Artist
Registered: Apr 2016
Location: River Falls, WI, USA
Posts: 445 |
I just took a look at the video of Eve’s last shot. There was a whacking great crack in the ice that apparently formed as she delivered the rock.
It’s on the WCT of the Germany vs Switzerland match starring at about 2:40:30.
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11-24-18 08:33AM |
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Observer
Swing Artist
Registered: Apr 2016
Location: River Falls, WI, USA
Posts: 445 |
Finals live on Olympic Channel
US fans who get the Olympic Channel....both the finals are being carried live.
As I type this, the Sweden and Scotland men are playing for gold in the 3rd end.
(It’s Saturday Nov, 24, 7:37 am Central as I type)
Last edited by Observer on 11-24-18 at 08:42AM
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11-24-18 01:17PM |
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prairie guy
Swing Artist
Registered: Jan 2011
Location: Southern Sask.
Posts: 364 |
If anyone PVR'd the 2 finals I would most definitely watch both games.
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11-24-18 02:06PM |
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southerncurler
Swing Artist
Registered: Jan 2015
Location:
Posts: 234 |
Impressive first stone draw from Anna to setup a skips deuce for the win.
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11-24-18 05:45PM |
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misty1
Supreme Champion!
Registered: Sep 2011
Location:
Posts: 6002 |
great win by team mouat today in the final.
just such an impressive display from them. they totally outplayed sweden.
and an impressive resume so early in their career. already have a grand slam, world bronze and european gold to their credit
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11-24-18 10:33PM |
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southerncurler
Swing Artist
Registered: Jan 2015
Location:
Posts: 234 |
“totally outplayed Sweden”
Not really...but they did take advantage of the Swedes mistakes and played up to their level.
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11-25-18 12:27AM |
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albetts
Super Rockchucker
Registered: Jan 2006
Location: Peterborough
Posts: 1120 |
Congrats Mouat team. This rink seems to be the ones to beat in these events. Good on ya.
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11-27-18 07:23AM |
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skwerl
Harvey Hacksmasher
Registered: Feb 2018
Location:
Posts: 49 |
quote: Originally posted by southerncurler
“totally outplayed Sweden”
Not really...but they did take advantage of the Swedes mistakes and played up to their level.
McMillan - 95%
Lammie - 84%
Hardie - 86%
Mouat - 90%
Team - 89%
Sundgren - 83%
Wranaa - 79%
Eriksson - 71%
Edin - 65%
Team - 75%
Edin’s last in the 4th end was probably shot of the game but overall I’d agree that Scotland totally outplayed them.
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11-27-18 11:56PM |
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southerncurler
Swing Artist
Registered: Jan 2015
Location:
Posts: 234 |
ah I knew someone would tout the percentages. Down one with in 9 and 10, I’d say the Swedes were okay with that situation and certainly weren’t “outplayed”.
If those percentages were actually accurate of how the game played out I would expect the scots to be up 2 or 3 heading in to the last end, that to me would be actually outplayed.
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11-28-18 06:48AM |
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misty1
Supreme Champion!
Registered: Sep 2011
Location:
Posts: 6002 |
quote: Originally posted by southerncurler
ah I knew someone would tout the percentages. Down one with in 9 and 10, I’d say the Swedes were okay with that situation and certainly weren’t “outplayed”.
If those percentages were actually accurate of how the game played out I would expect the scots to be up 2 or 3 heading in to the last end, that to me would be actually outplayed.
io agree the percentages dont tell the story. i watched the whole game though. here's what i'd say:
1st end - sotland heavily outplayed sweden. the swedes barely made shots and the only reason they didn't give up more than 1 was because niklas made a great draw on his first
ends 2-5 - were more about niklas .sweden as a team played these ends well but scotland still kept up it was about niklas making good shots on his first to set them up. even in that 4th end sweden didnt look like they were setting anything up until niklas made that angle raise on his first. the 2nd end was really the only one they controlled from the start
ends 6-10 - scotland came out and played great. outplayed sweden through the back half of the game. never let sweden get anything going and niklas had to make good shots on his last to limit damage and allow scotland only 2 in ends 6 and 8 otherwise they could have gotten more. and that 10th end was just brilliant from scotland.
in summary sweden had a strong game for about 4 ends but scotland outplayed them for most of it.
Last edited by misty1 on 11-28-18 at 06:52AM
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11-28-18 07:00AM |
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misty1
Supreme Champion!
Registered: Sep 2011
Location:
Posts: 6002 |
mouat's rink reminds me a ot of edin's when he first broke out. young rink with lots of potential but mostly untested at senior level and more known for the upweight shots than the draws. at the same time mouat can make the big draws when required to do so. i do still think of the draw and soft shot as a weakness for this team but, much like edin when they get more consistent with it watch out. i wouldn't be surprised to see them dominate in the way edin did for a while there in europe and win a couple worlds...at least one
of course, for bruce the obstacle will be getting to worlds. unlike sweden the scottish men actually have depth. they have 2 other strong teams and more coming for bruce to compete with.on top of that scotland actually has their teams earn their way to worlds unlike sweden so you won't just get hand picked every year, event, after event. niklas will continue to be picked until he retires or another team literally comes from nowhere to challenge him. while i do think mouat is the best of them all i dont think we'll see them play at 9 worlds in a row like edin. (and im sure that number will be stretched to something like 12 or 15 by the time all is said and done).
Last edited by misty1 on 11-28-18 at 07:14AM
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11-28-18 09:29AM |
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Deliverer
Swing Artist
Registered: Nov 2016
Location:
Posts: 471 |
quote: Originally posted by skwerl
McMillan - 95%
Lammie - 84%
Hardie - 86%
Mouat - 90%
Team - 89%
Sundgren - 83%
Wranaa - 79%
Eriksson - 71%
Edin - 65%
Team - 75%
Edin’s last in the 4th end was probably shot of the game but overall I’d agree that Scotland totally outplayed them.
These statistics demonstrate just how deceptive percentages can be,eh?
Without knowing the outcome, you might conclude the final score could be something like 8 - 3. But Sweden was actually leading 4 -2 at the end of the 5th! and was only down by 1 going into the final end.
With a perfect 10th end Edin & Co. might have won the whole enchilada despite the fact it was obviously not their day. Why obviously? Because prior to this game they rattled off ten ( 10 ) consecutive wins including a victory over Mouat in the round - robin.
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11-28-18 09:49AM |
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skwerl
Harvey Hacksmasher
Registered: Feb 2018
Location:
Posts: 49 |
quote: Originally posted by southerncurler
ah I knew someone would tout the percentages. Down one with in 9 and 10, I’d say the Swedes were okay with that situation and certainly weren’t “outplayed”.
If those percentages were actually accurate of how the game played out I would expect the scots to be up 2 or 3 heading in to the last end, that to me would be actually outplayed.
I don’t think shot percentages are the be all and end all but they’re a better reflection of how teams played than scorelines are. I’m sure Edin was absolutely delighted to still be in the game in the 9th and 10th given how much better Scotland had played.
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