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01-12-16 10:20PM |
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dbsdbs
Drawmaster
Registered: Feb 2013
Location:
Posts: 812 |
And Ethan Meyers is a nice kid too, so if you cannot hang the name on Dropkin then don't hang it on Meyers. After all, the only thing Meyers did wrong was WIN the championship game -- which is what the playdown is supposedly about. It is unfortunate that either Dropkin or Meyers have to be tagged here. When the same thing happened in the US Womens Championship back in 1991 and the rule was changed after those upstarts from Texas had the audacity to win the championship, nobody hung that name on them.
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01-12-16 11:14PM |
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tuck
Super Rockchucker
Registered: Dec 2005
Location: St. Thomas, North Dakota
Posts: 2613 |
Totally different. I think Ethan would love to have the rule named after his upset. Somebody ask him.
2 loss provision works just fine. Does it apply to Men's and Women's as well?
Ben Tucker
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01-12-16 11:31PM |
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Alice
Swing Artist
Registered: Feb 2012
Location:
Posts: 324 |
The "midget" idea could help develop more young competitive curlers as the 5-and-under has done for new adult curlers. How about having something like the Canadian high school provincial championships?
High school kids usually stick closer to home while the the best junior teams often have members in college with teamates all over the map. HPP thinks it can manage and farm juniors to achieve consistent Olympic success while paying lip service to the idea that our high school and college students mustn't hurt their education by being on the adult tours.
"High school" teams could represent clubs and states like our non-WCF adult arena/club teams. They could playdown in clubs and regionally as arena/club teams. Events leading to WCF competitions have turned into HPP "from Blaine" teams plus skip-choice teams - both of which have been killing off state and regional playdowns for mens, womens and now also doubles, too.
Each curling region could have a high school championship with less travel needed to enter to encourage participation. At those regionals the players can see and be seen to self-assemble ever better teams which would enter the juniors' qualification track which likely will be increasingly tinkered with by HPP to favor its own teams. Boys, girls and doubles could have regional high school championships earning the winners berths at the juniors national leading to worlds. That would be a good way to improve both the number and quality of junior teams.
Last edited by Alice on 01-12-16 at 11:36PM
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01-13-16 01:37AM |
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dbsdbs
Drawmaster
Registered: Feb 2013
Location:
Posts: 812 |
quote: Originally posted by tuck
Totally different. I think Ethan would love to have the rule named after his upset. Somebody ask him.
2 loss provision works just fine. Does it apply to Men's and Women's as well?
Ben Tucker
No idea if the 2-loss rule applies to men and women. I know it was applied to women after those Texans won the title and then finished 9th in worlds, and pretty sure Kakela's got burned by it at least once in mens play. No idea what applies today and, whatever the rule is, whether it will still apply tomorrrow.
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01-13-16 11:06AM |
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biterbar
Drawmaster
Registered: Mar 2009
Location:
Posts: 695 |
quote: Originally posted by dbsdbs
No idea if the 2-loss rule applies to men and women. I know it was applied to women after those Texans won the title and then finished 9th in worlds, and pretty sure Kakela's got burned by it at least once in mens play. No idea what applies today and, whatever the rule is, whether it will still apply tomorrrow.
A little history and perspective.
The "Texan's may have finished 9th at worlds but the ten years prior to that the US women finished: (1981-1990) 8th, 8th, 6th, 9th, 9th ,7th, 5th,7th, 9th, 8th. The year after Schoeneberg took the silver but then we fell to 8th in 1993.
In fact the Silver in 1992 was the first medal beating the previous best of 5th.
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01-13-16 11:16AM |
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youngen
Harvey Hacksmasher
Registered: Jan 2009
Location:
Posts: 99 |
quote: Originally posted by Alice
The "midget" idea could help develop more young competitive curlers as the 5-and-under has done for new adult curlers. How about having something like the Canadian high school provincial championships?
High school kids usually stick closer to home while the the best junior teams often have members in college with teamates all over the map. HPP thinks it can manage and farm juniors to achieve consistent Olympic success while paying lip service to the idea that our high school and college students mustn't hurt their education by being on the adult tours.
"High school" teams could represent clubs and states like our non-WCF adult arena/club teams. They could playdown in clubs and regionally as arena/club teams. Events leading to WCF competitions have turned into HPP "from Blaine" teams plus skip-choice teams - both of which have been killing off state and regional playdowns for mens, womens and now also doubles, too.
Each curling region could have a high school championship with less travel needed to enter to encourage participation. At those regionals the players can see and be seen to self-assemble ever better teams which would enter the juniors' qualification track which likely will be increasingly tinkered with by HPP to favor its own teams. Boys, girls and doubles could have regional high school championships earning the winners berths at the juniors national leading to worlds. That would be a good way to improve both the number and quality of junior teams.
Alice, you are a little behind here. High School curling has already came and passed. Most midwest curling towns had high school curling and their respective states had a high school state curling championship. In ND they used to be a big deal. Clubs like Grafton, ND still have pictures up of teams that won the high school state championship dating back to at least the early 1980's that I can remember. It eventually became a namesake tournament regarded more as a bonspiel for fun. Any team that wanted to be competitive focused on juniors because "Worlds" was a much bigger carrot to go for. And with the addition of Bantam curling having groups like U-14 and U-18 it kind of eliminates the need for a separate high school playdown system.
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01-13-16 11:43AM |
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IMWright
Swing Artist
Registered: Dec 2014
Location:
Posts: 206 |
quote: Originally posted by tuck
OK, we simply CANNOT call it the Dropkin Rule. WAY too nice of a young gentleman. WAY too nice of a family.
I do understand that it's easier to say and type than Two Loss Provision On Top Of Page Playoff Advantage, but it just ain't right.
Let's call it the Meyers Rule. He's the guy who upset the apple cart. If he hadn't have won that game, we wouldn't have the rule. Ethan would probably be proud of it and remember it all fondly.
I think I prefer Ethan's Rule, but I can live with The Meyers Rule.
Ben Tucker
I didn't start the name, I heard it from people from several different curling clubs - so that ship has sailed.
The tick shot is referred to as the "Weagle", made popular by the lead on Rachel Homan's team. Have people done tick shots before, yup, but it was made popular by her. Since it seems that the new rule would not exist if another team went undefeated and then lost in the finals, it seems fitting.
If the new rule is not a bad thing, why the fuss then? (rhetorical)
I have no ill-will towards any of the HPP curlers personally, just the HPP itself. It's like one saying that they don't like a particular professional football team, or college football team (like Ohio State :: grin :; they probably don't hate the individuals on that team.
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01-13-16 11:46AM |
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biterbar
Drawmaster
Registered: Mar 2009
Location:
Posts: 695 |
quote: Originally posted by youngen
Alice, you are a little behind here. High School curling has already came and passed. Most midwest curling towns had high school curling and their respective states had a high school state curling championship. In ND they used to be a big deal. Clubs like Grafton, ND still have pictures up of teams that won the high school state championship dating back to at least the early 1980's that I can remember. It eventually became a namesake tournament regarded more as a bonspiel for fun. Any team that wanted to be competitive focused on juniors because "Worlds" was a much bigger carrot to go for. And with the addition of Bantam curling having groups like U-14 and U-18 it kind of eliminates the need for a separate high school playdown system.
High School curling is alive and well in Wisconsin who just held a 43 (yes, FORTY THREE) team High School Championship at the state of the art 8 sheet club in Wausau.
http://www.wkow.com/story/30926651/...ent-hits-wausau
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01-13-16 11:52AM |
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Jr. Samples
Knee-Slider
Registered: Jan 2016
Location:
Posts: 1 |
Korey's team has a major sponsor, Red Elephant Chocolate. They are running a promotion tied to Junior Nationals. If you send an email to curling@redelephantchocolate.com then, for each game Team Dropkin wins in the tournament next week, an added 3% discount accumulates for you towards an online chocolate order.
They are building their email list, of course. But, they have financially supported curling. Plus you get an extra reason to either cheer for team Dropkin or feel better if the team you are backing loses to them. Win-Win!
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01-13-16 12:51PM |
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dbsdbs
Drawmaster
Registered: Feb 2013
Location:
Posts: 812 |
quote: Originally posted by biterbar
A little history and perspective.
The "Texan's may have finished 9th at worlds but the ten years prior to that the US women finished: (1981-1990) 8th, 8th, 6th, 9th, 9th ,7th, 5th,7th, 9th, 8th. The year after Schoeneberg took the silver but then we fell to 8th in 1993.
In fact the Silver in 1992 was the first medal beating the previous best of 5th.
Exactly. So one wonders why the USCA went into panic mode when the Texans won in 1991. And why the Meyers win was so horrific last year. It really should matter what happens on the ice... and then let what will be will be.
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01-13-16 01:57PM |
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RockDoc
Swing Artist
Registered: Apr 2005
Location:
Posts: 399 |
I find it amusing that anyone, including the USCA powers-that-be, would be surprised that in a one-game playoff format even a heavily favored team might lose now and then. You have to consider that playoff teams will likely be among the best in the round robin field, so winning probabilities for any team in the playoffs would not be expected to be too far from 50%. In a one-game exposure, an unexpected outcome might be reasonably common.
If you want to maximize the probability of the best-prepared and talented team of winning an event, you should go with a pure round robin. When you introduce sudden death playoffs with one- or two-game exposure, any single result may not mirror the "expected" outcome, mainly because any one game can only represent 0% or 100% success. (If the weaker team has only a 25% chance of winning the game, they will nevertheless win one of 4 meetings--the ONE time they win, it will look like there was a breakdown in the system, when in fact it's just random variation.) If the same teams play twice and the weaker team has to win both, the probability of the weaker team winning declines to just over 6% instead of 25% in this same scenario. Change the winning percentage to 40%, and the weaker team wins almost half of the encounters in a single game, but only 16% of a two-game must-win situation. This is probably closer to the truth of playoff teams meeting, both of which are reasonably closely matched.
Playoffs add drama, but you have to accept that there will be "upsets," although in a relatively deep field any of the playoff teams may be very close in performance.
Cheers.
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01-13-16 02:13PM |
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biterbar
Drawmaster
Registered: Mar 2009
Location:
Posts: 695 |
Wasn't the reason for Page Playoffs to be implemented in the first place? Top two cannot be eliminated with one loss. It guarantees two losses for any non-winner.
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01-13-16 02:27PM |
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VAcurler
Hitting Paint
Registered: Jan 2012
Location:
Posts: 136 |
The 2 loss provision applies to all national championship events now. Mixed doubles had an extra game just in case an undefeated team lost the final.
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01-13-16 02:28PM |
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VAcurler
Hitting Paint
Registered: Jan 2012
Location:
Posts: 136 |
quote: Originally posted by biterbar
Wasn't the reason for Page Playoffs to be implemented in the first place? Top two cannot be eliminated with one loss. It guarantees two losses for any non-winner.
You go undefeated and lose the "final" in a page and be the second place team with only one loss. This is what the system is being rigged to prevent.
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01-13-16 02:40PM |
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RockDoc
Swing Artist
Registered: Apr 2005
Location:
Posts: 399 |
quote: Originally posted by biterbar
Wasn't the reason for Page Playoffs to be implemented in the first place? Top two cannot be eliminated with one loss. It guarantees two losses for any non-winner.
Yes, the Page playoff system has a distinct advantage over a one-game sudden-death system (e.g. 1v4, 2v3 as in the Olympics). The #1 and #2 teams are essentially in a quasi-double-elimination bracket, while the #3 and #4 teams are in a more perilous single-elimination bracket. The finals still pose a single-game exposure element to an undefeated team who wins the Page 1-2 game.
The "two-loss" provision for an undefeated team makes the playoff system a true double-elimination, making it less likely that the winner will deviate from the expected result. (Of course, over time the expected result will occur more often than not, with the expected probability, but there is no guarantee any ONE event will conform.) No system can guarantee that the "best" team will win always.
Last edited by RockDoc on 01-13-16 at 02:50PM
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01-14-16 12:55AM |
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dbsdbs
Drawmaster
Registered: Feb 2013
Location:
Posts: 812 |
quote: Originally posted by RockDoc
No system can guarantee that the "best" team will win always.
But the HPP feels it should be able to guarantee that the team they like the best will go to worlds, regardless of which team wins the nationas
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01-14-16 08:14AM |
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B Anderson
Harvey Hacksmasher
Registered: Feb 2012
Location:
Posts: 39 |
quote: Originally posted by dbsdbs
But the HPP feels it should be able to guarantee that the team they like the best will go to worlds, regardless of which team wins the nationas
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01-14-16 12:08PM |
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youngen
Harvey Hacksmasher
Registered: Jan 2009
Location:
Posts: 99 |
quote: Originally posted by dbsdbs
But the HPP feels it should be able to guarantee that the team they like the best will go to worlds, regardless of which team wins the nationas
Yeah, and the moon landing was faked.
Stop being a conspiracy theorist. The rule itself is a good rule regardless of when it was implemented, by who, and from what specific event last year it was initiated. The HPP cannot guarantee any outcome if the other teams win their games.
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01-14-16 05:46PM |
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tuck
Super Rockchucker
Registered: Dec 2005
Location: St. Thomas, North Dakota
Posts: 2613 |
Format discussion? Really? OK, here's my opinion even though it isn't worth two cents:
Whether it's TESN or ESPN 3 or some future viewing platform, nothing is better in sport that a True Sudden Death Winner Goes On Final.
Viewership is important. It may be the most important. Viewership spurs growth and invites sponsors and every good thing.
So: While the winner of a round robin (or, even better, a double round robin) send on your best team more frequently, it sucks for viewership. Same with some 2 Loss Provision.
We need to drive viewership instead of waiting for it to come to us. Think beyond this year and the current viewing platforms. Think to the future and the good of the game and you'll want a True Final.
Ben Tucker (yeah, dbsdbs, they've figured out that you and I aren't thrilled with the High Performance Program...and I still think that Ethan would be thrilled if we called it the Meyers Rule)
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01-14-16 06:33PM |
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dbsdbs
Drawmaster
Registered: Feb 2013
Location:
Posts: 812 |
quote: Originally posted by youngen
The HPP cannot guarantee any outcome if the other teams win their games.
... which explains why the winners of the 2014 and 2015 USA womens championships did not go to the world championships.
Now that is my last kick at that dead horse.
And Ben Tucker is exactly right that there needs to be ONE winner-take-all championship game. TV and its $$ drive everything in sport. Beyond that, whoever it is that plays host to our Nationals is going to want ONE championship game that they can market to the public.
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01-14-16 08:28PM |
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Gerry
CZ Founder
Registered: Sep 2002
Location: London, Ontario
Posts: 4002 |
Doesn't having your best team (ideally winning late into the event) at the World Championships provide an even better opportunity to increase viewership and interest in the sport?
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01-14-16 08:30PM |
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rbi
Hitting Paint
Registered: May 2014
Location:
Posts: 143 |
basketball, baseball and hockey seem to do OK viewership-wise with multi-game finals.
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01-14-16 10:15PM |
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dbsdbs
Drawmaster
Registered: Feb 2013
Location:
Posts: 812 |
quote: Originally posted by rbi
basketball, baseball and hockey seem to do OK viewership-wise with multi-game finals.
Great comparison... and I bet TV cannot wait for the opportunity to show a best of 7 final for US or World Curling title.
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01-14-16 10:26PM |
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tuck
Super Rockchucker
Registered: Dec 2005
Location: St. Thomas, North Dakota
Posts: 2613 |
Sorry, Gerry, but non-curlers in the USA are not going to watch Worlds...even if we could get them televised on some platform in the future. They flock to watch the Olympics. I believe they would watch the National gold medal game. We tried it in Green Bay, but it has yet to get traction.
Basketball and baseball do OK with multi-game finals that may or may not go the distance, but the real excitement in basketball is March Madness and its sudden death.
Baseball? The only real excitement is in Game 7.
I digress. Juniors. The Mankato girls have to drive a bunch to play or practice. Was the Bemidji upset at State a sign on rust or demise? I'm guessing rust. We'll know soon. They should be a stone cold lock to make the playoffs if it's just rust.
Ben Tucker (still waiting for Mr. Lucky to call me pretty while my son is trailing at Clubs)
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