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Gerry
CZ Founder

Registered: Sep 2002
Location: London, Ontario
Posts: 3886

Olympic Qualifying

Lots in play yet for teams eliminated from the playoffs as the top 7 points leaders plus Korea qualify their countries directly into the Olympics. All other countries who qualified for Worlds in the last 3 years will get to play for the last two spots in a last chance event next December.

>> Korea has a spot as host nation.
>> Canada (14 last year, plus minimum 9 this year) has 23+ points
>> USA (10 plus 9+) has 19+
>> Sweden (7 plus 9+) has 16+
>> Switzerland (4 plus 9+) has 13+
>> Japan with 9 last year and can't finish worse than 9th will have at least 13 points.

That leaves three teams fighting for last two berths directly into the Olympics.
>> Denmark finished 2nd last year but failed to qualify for Worlds this year and has 12 points.
>> Norway (8 points last year) need to earn a minimum of 4 points to tie Denmark, with the tiebreaker being this year's result. One win in final 2 games or a Germany loss would be enough to clinch this spot.
>> Great Britain (as Scotland) has 6 points from last season needs a 7th place (6 points) or better finish to tie Denmark and claim a berth. One win might not be enough depending on other results, though 2 wins should be enough in last 2 draws to clinch this result.

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Old Post 04-06-17 05:59PM
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nelski
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Registered: Oct 2004
Location: Hill Bottom Corner
Posts: 1603

Where are they playing the last chance event in December? Who is likely in that event, who is not here, (other than Denmark?) How many teams play in that?

THanks for this summary. Lots at stake.

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Old Post 04-06-17 06:11PM
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Gerry
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Registered: Sep 2002
Location: London, Ontario
Posts: 3886

The last chance event will be in Pilsen, Czech Republic.

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Old Post 04-06-17 06:27PM
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Gerry
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Registered: Sep 2002
Location: London, Ontario
Posts: 3886

With the loss by Germany, Norway has qualified for the 2018 Olympics in Korea. With 8 points coming in, they add 4 minimum as they can't finish worse than 9th overall.

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Old Post 04-06-17 06:29PM
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Gerry
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Registered: Sep 2002
Location: London, Ontario
Posts: 3886

Scotland might not be in a must-win position tonight, but it sure would help.

The Scotland Scenarios for Tonight:

GOOD: Scotland wins, they'll be 6-5. China or Japan can get to 6-5, as can Norway, meaning Scotland would finish no worse than 7th overall. That would give Scotland 6 points for Great Britain, putting them into a tie with Denmark, but the better result this year being the tiebreaker would qualify them for the Olympics.

GOOD: Scotland loss (5-6) can still finish 7th or better if Japan loses to China and Norway wins over Canada. Scotland would be tied with Japan for 7th, but would get the tiebreaker by way of their head to head record, giving them 6 points and 12 total to qualify Great Britain for the Olympics over Denmark.

GOOD: Scotland loss (5-6) and losses by Japan and Norway would leave the 3 teams tied for 6th place, with a 1-1 head to head record against each other.

Norway has the worst shootout and must cover the pin twice to average 41.44cm to move ahead of Scotland if they missed the house twice and would finish with 42.58cm. Japan is right behind Scotland at 34.29cm, so in order of lock this spot up they need a decent shootout to make sure they finish no worse than 2nd in the tie giving them 7th place and 6 points.

** UPDATE ** Scotland continue to have the best shootout between them, Norway and Japan. Should all three lose and tie for 6th place, Scotland would finish 6th, Japan 7th and Norway 8th based on shootout and Scotland would earn enough points for an Olympics berth for Great Britain.

BAD: Scotland loss (5-6) and loss by China, Scotland would be tied for 7th place with China, but finish 8th because of their round-robin loss to China, earning them only 5 points, and leaving them a point behind Denmark who would qualify for the Olympics over Great Britain. Should Norway lose and create a 3-way tie for 6th place, Scotland would still finish 8th as they lost to both Norway and China.

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Old Post 04-06-17 07:25PM
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Gerry
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Location: London, Ontario
Posts: 3886

Adjustment to scenario where Scotland, Norway and Japan all lose, there is a slight chance that Scotland could finish last (and 8th overall) in case of a three way tie. This will update once the shootouts are posted at the beginning of tonight's draw 17.

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Old Post 04-06-17 07:44PM
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Gerry
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Registered: Sep 2002
Location: London, Ontario
Posts: 3886

Shootout completed and a positive for Scotland as they threw a 23.7 and 10.3 to ensure that if they lose along with Japan and Norway that they would still qualify Great Britain for the Olympics.

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Old Post 04-06-17 09:18PM
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nelski
Super Rockchucker

Registered: Oct 2004
Location: Hill Bottom Corner
Posts: 1603

So - last chance is in Czech Republic - Vlin?? December. That would be an interesting event to attend. I assume World Curling Federation will have the lowdown - teams, scores etc.

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Old Post 04-07-17 09:02AM
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misty1
Supreme Champion!

Registered: Sep 2011
Location:
Posts: 5033

so the 8 mens teams qualified for the olympics are:

canada
united states
sweden
switzerland
norway
south korea
great britain
japan

right?

that pre-qualifier is gonna be tight with china, denmark, italy and finland all fighting for 2 spots on the mens side

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Old Post 04-07-17 09:09AM
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