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Three
Swing Artist

Registered: Feb 2015
Location: Canada
Posts: 204

quote:
Originally posted by UnattachedFC


I think that she still has an outside shot.

If Middaugh makes the finals at Perth and Fleury doesn't qualify in her last two tournaments (Players' and Perth) AND Scheidegger passes Sweeting for 1-year, Middaugh would get that direct spot. Muirhead got 44 points for her win at Perth last year. I expect that winner will get something similar. She needs 29.5567 to pass Fleury considering that we have to take out Middaugh's 8th best result of this season.

Now, we have to see how many points will be available for that tournament, but she only needs the tournament to have a SFM higher than 4.2223. For a finals apperance to be good enough, it must be higher than 5.739. Just to give a comparison to last year, it was a 6.3695. I don't expect it to be lower this year for a finals apperance to not be good enough. I think it's possible that semis gets her something, but the tournament would need to be higher than 6,9545 and I doubt that, it would go that high.

Fleury wouldn't improve her 8th best score if she doesn't qualify in both of her events.

Scheidegger needs in the 1 year to pass Sweeting in that. She's technically 7 points back, but she only needs to tie whatever Sweeting does in points if they both make the playoffs, because Sweeting has to deduct her 11 points from the Canada Cup from her top results.

So you're telling me there's a chance



Great analysis UnattachedFC. SFM came in at 6.75ish so a finals appearance by Middaugh makes the Player's that much more interesting.

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Old Post 03-29-17 12:59AM
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Three
Swing Artist

Registered: Feb 2015
Location: Canada
Posts: 204

Just noticed that Carey is also in Perth....the plot thickens.

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Old Post 03-29-17 01:05AM
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On The Nose
Swing Artist

Registered: Apr 2014
Location: In the House
Posts: 329

quote:
Originally posted by decade
Who has the best bet to take Homans's Brier spot now that she has a guaranteed medal? Flaxey? All the wannabe's are running to Perth next weekend to get some points, Really Middaugh as our olympic rep? Some of these ladies need a reality check,

Homan's Brier spot?
If they don't allow men to play in the Scotties, as well, allowing women to play in the Brier is unfair!

__________________
"It is easy in the world to live after the world’s opinion; it is easy in solitude to live after our own... but the great man is he who, in the midst of the crowd, keeps with perfect sweetness the independence of solitude." ~ Ralph Waldo Emerson

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Old Post 03-29-17 04:03AM
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Stoner
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Registered: Mar 2013
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Posts: 449

Is no one or barely anyone seriously putting Carey, even though she's won a Scotties and was at the Worlds and is ranked #8 in the world, like are you joking.

Anyhow the top 8 right now would probably be Homan and Jones of course, Sweeting, Flaxey, Carey, Rocque, Einarson and Fleury.

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Old Post 03-29-17 04:28AM
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UnattachedFC
Harvey Hacksmasher

Registered: Jan 2016
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Posts: 89

quote:
Originally posted by Stoner
Is no one or barely anyone seriously putting Carey, even though she's won a Scotties and was at the Worlds and is ranked #8 in the world, like are you joking.

Anyhow the top 8 right now would probably be Homan and Jones of course, Sweeting, Flaxey, Carey, Rocque, Einarson and Fleury.



I think we're talking about the 5 teams that will get their Trials berth in early May. With the Champions' Cup not counting for Trials, Rocque and Einarson have to go through Summerside unless many teams forfeit their spot. It's not about who has the best shot at winning the Trials. It's about who has the best shot of getting the call early and not having to have a great week in Summerside.

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Old Post 03-29-17 12:26PM
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Stoner
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Registered: Mar 2013
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Posts: 449

quote:
Originally posted by UnattachedFC


I think we're talking about the 5 teams that will get their Trials berth in early May. With the Champions' Cup not counting for Trials, Rocque and Einarson have to go through Summerside unless many teams forfeit their spot. It's not about who has the best shot at winning the Trials. It's about who has the best shot of getting the call early and not having to have a great week in Summerside.



I'm not talking about winning the trials, I'm talking about getting into them.

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Old Post 03-29-17 04:44PM
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Three
Swing Artist

Registered: Feb 2015
Location: Canada
Posts: 204

quote:
Originally posted by Stoner


I'm not talking about winning the trials, I'm talking about getting into them.



Hey Stoner, if you read my last update of the standings you can see how Carey could lose her theoretical invite to Ottawa. Worst case they get a spot to Summerside obviously but depending on what happens in Perth and in the Player's a lot could change for Team Carey. They had a bad year this season and can only get into Ottawa via the two year points slot which they currently occupy.

Last edited by Three on 03-29-17 at 05:15PM

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Old Post 03-29-17 05:10PM
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Stoner
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Registered: Mar 2013
Location:
Posts: 449

quote:
Originally posted by Three


Hey Stoner, if you read my last update of the standings you can see how Carey could lose her theoretical invite to Ottawa. Worst case the get a spot to Summerside obviously but depending on what happens in Perth and in the Player's a lot could change for Team Carey.



Oh I know Carey has to earn their way in now because they did not medal at worlds, at least lost the certain berth.

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Old Post 03-29-17 05:13PM
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decade
Super Rockchucker

Registered: Jan 2011
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Posts: 1413

quote:
Originally posted by On The Nose

Homan's Brier spot?
If they don't allow men to play in the Scotties, as well, allowing women to play in the Brier is unfair!


Freudian slip or too much vino.

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Old Post 03-29-17 05:18PM
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Stoner
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Carey has not had that good of a year, even though they are still rated highly, the yearly rating has them a bit lower, so it would not surprise if they didn't even get into trials, teams Englot has a better chance right now. McCarville did alright at the Scotties, but it was a pretty weak field, they have not been so good on the tour. Middaugh and Harrison have been pretty good on tour.

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Old Post 03-29-17 05:22PM
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Manitoba Legend
Supreme Champion!

Registered: Jan 2009
Location: Hovel of Fame
Posts: 10804

quote:
Originally posted by Stoner
Carey has not had that good of a year, even though they are still rated highly, the yearly rating has them a bit lower, so it would not surprise if they didn't even get into trials, teams Englot has a better chance right now. McCarville did alright at the Scotties, but it was a pretty weak field, they have not been so good on the tour. Middaugh and Harrison have been pretty good on tour.


McCarville is a seasoned Canadian skip who tends to win far more than she loses. Her restricted tour habits hinder her opportunities for CTRS points - no fault of her own, she's a teacher in a non-metropolitan area. But if she somehow induce more sponsorship and take a sabbatical there's no doubt she'd increase her points total and sharpen up her overall team game.

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Old Post 03-29-17 06:21PM
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curlerbroad
Super Rockchucker

Registered: Feb 2004
Location: Toronto
Posts: 1997

A few days late and the WWCC thread is closed but our esteemed Prime Minister finally congratulated Team Homan on their win, 24h after ex-PM Stephen Harper

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Old Post 03-29-17 11:14PM
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nelski
Super Rockchucker

Registered: Oct 2004
Location: Hill Bottom Corner
Posts: 1547

I see there are 5 Canadian teams in the Perth Ladies International, including Carey, Flaxey, Fleury, Tippin and Middaugh. I wonder if a strong performance at this event will help any teams looking to attend the Roar or the Road-To? Thoughts?

The streaming for this event has no audio and the scores are about an hour behind the video. It would be good to see our Canadian teams do well. There are some teams from other countries also probably looking for Olympic berths from their homelands. Very strong field.

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Old Post 03-30-17 01:24PM
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