AlanMacNeill
Super Rockchucker
Registered: Sep 2011
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Posts: 1064 |
Never mind, got the draw 6 results...
Down to 16 scenarios now. Full analysis momentarily.
Okay...here we go...
16 scenarios left
(ASSUMPTION! Tiebreaker requires loss on the ice to be eliminated, however seedings within ties are done on basis of H2H if possible...I do not have LSD results to seed beyond this)
In order of favorability for US:
(Winners in the last draw listed in brackets, remember that the games are US v FIN, CZE v NZL, FRA v KOR, and GER v JPN)
1. (USA,NZL,FRA,JPN) - US emerges as the 1 seed, CZE,GER,KOR,NZL Playoff for 2 and 3 (no clue how this would be done)
2. (USA, NZL, KOR, JPN) - US is the 1 seed (KOR 2 by H2H), CZE, GER, NZL PLayoff for 3 seed
3. (USA,CZE,FRA,JPN) - US is the 2 seed (CZE gets 1 seed by H2H) GER and KOR playoff for 3 seed
4. (USA,NZL,FRA,GER) - US is the 2 seed (GER 1 by H2H), CZE, KOR, NZL PLayoff for 3 seed
5. (USA, CZE, KOR, JPN) - 3 way tiebreaker between USA, CZE, and KOR. All 1-1 H2H, so LSD Determines (I think)
6. (USA, NZL, KOR, GER) - 3 way tiebreaker between USA, KOR, and GER. All 1-1 H2H, so LSD Determines
7. (USA, CZE, FRA, GER) - US is the 3 seed (GER 1 by 2-0 H2H, CZE 2 by 1-1 H2H, USA 3 by 0-2 H2H)
8. (USA, CZE, KOR, GER) - 4 way tie between CZE, GER, KOR, USA. CZE and GER get the 1-2 game by 2-1 H2H, USA and KOR Playoff for 3 spot.
9. (FIN, NZL, FRA, JPN) - 5 Way Tie between CZE, GER, KOR, NZL, USA. GER gets the 1 seed by 3-1 H2H, CZE, KOR, USA, and NZL Playoff to get the 2 and 3 seeds...I'm not sure how that would work (who plays for the 2 spot?), but I know NZL is disadvantaged due to 1-3 H2H record
10. (FIN, NZL, FRA, GER) - GER gets 1 seed, 4 way tie between CZE, KOR, NZL, USA. Playoff for 2 and 3 seeds (again, not sure who plays for the 2 spot)
11. (FIN, CZE, FRA, JPN) - CZE gets 1 seed, GER, KOR, USA tie for 2nd, seeded by LSD due to 1-1 H2H for all
12. (FIN, NZL, KOR, JPN) - KOR gets 1 seed, CZE, GER, NZL, USA tie for 2nd...unclear on the tiebreak here
13. (FIN, CZE, FRA, GER) - GER and CZE play in 1-2 game, USA v Korea in Playoff for 3 seed
14. (FIN, CZE, KOR, JPN) - CZE and KOR play in 1-2 game, USA v GER in Playoff for 3 seed
15. (FIN, NZL, KOR, GER) - GER and KOR play in 1-2 game, USA, NZL, CZE in Playoff for 3 seed, seeded by LSD results due to 1-1 H2H record all around
16. (FIN, CZE, KOR, GER) - CZE, GER, and KOR playoff, USA goes home.
Last edited by AlanMacNeill on 12-13-13 at 09:33AM
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